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Volatility Analysis for Exxon Mobil

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Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price. of Exxon Mobil

This chart shows Volatility for Exxon Mobil, defined to be the price range as a portion of the average price:

So, to derive the Daily Volatility on 3/17/2010 of 1.4%, the price range for the day (0.99) was divided by the average price (67.3). The Daily Volatility is obtained by dividing the daily range by the daily average. A longer Volatility period such as Weekly Volatility is obtained by dividing the weekly price range by the weekly mean price. It is important to avoid confusing this with the weekly average of the daily volatility, which is a completely different concept.

The red plot shows the actual price. Volatility, as measured through various intervals, ( Daily, Weekly, Monthly and Quarterly) is plotted according to color.

According to academic theory, Volatility is exactly equal to Risk. But investors often make a distinction between these two concepts. The different character of Volatility as seen in different time frames, lends some support to the investor's view. During 30 years, the Average Quarterly Volatility of XOM stock price has been 15% while the Average Daily Volatility has been 2%.



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Volatility Curve of Exxon Mobil

If you have ever seen a "yield curve" you should be able to understand the concept behind this "yield curve". These Volatility Curves each apply to a discrete time interval. From left to right, each position plots the Volatility associated with increasing intervals of time. However, as seen in this plot of the XOM Volatility Curve, the increase is not constant.



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XOM:  Daily Volatility Histogram

This histogram is a frequency distribution of Daily Volatility, corresponding to the green points on the first chart on this page.



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XOM:  Quarterly Volatility Histogram

Similarly, the purple points on the top chart, the Quarterly Volatility Values, are subjected to frequency distribution here.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of Exxon Mobil Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for XOM :


Companies in the News:

In the news, Thursday, March 18, 2010: An unfavorable condition has developed with ConocoPhillips, ticker symbol COP. Also, there are breaking events concerning Masco Corporation (MAS) and Dupont (DD)

More XOM Technical Analysis Topics

XOM Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Volume Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices of XOM

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

XOM Classical Analysis of Time Series

XOM Historical Volume

XOM Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

Back to XOM Table of Contents


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