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Volatility Analysis for Wachovia Corporation

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Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price. of Wachovia Corporation

Volatility is defined as the price range for a period, divided by the average price for the period:

So, to derive the Daily Volatility on 12/31/2008 of 7.6%, the price range for the day (0.44) was divided by the average price (5.76). The Daily Volatility is obtained by dividing the daily range by the daily average. A longer Volatility period such as Weekly Volatility is obtained by dividing the weekly price range by the weekly mean price. This is a different concept from the weekly average of daily volatility.

For reference, the price is plotted in red. The remaining marks on the plot correspond to the Volatility measured across several time intervals.

Investors often make a distinction between the concept of Volatility, and the concept of Risk. Academics define them to be exactly equivalent, but as can be seen here, there is good reason to distinguish between the levels of volatility or risk experienced across different time frames. Average Daily Volatility over the history of WB has been 3% in contrast to the Average Quarterly Volatility of 24%.



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WB:  Volatility Curve

You may be familiar with the "yield curve" which shows how interest bearing yields vary according to term. Each Volatility Curve is a snapshot in time. From left to right, each position plots the Volatility associated with increasing intervals of time. The relationship between the length of time, and the expected change in price, is not linear, as is demonstrated by this chart.



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WB:  Daily Volatility Histogram

A frequency distribution of the green points on the first chart (the daily volatility) yields this histogram.



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WB:  Quarterly Volatility Histogram

In a similar vein, the Frequency Distribution of the Quarterly Volatility is plotted here. This is the distribution of the values plotted in purple on the top chart from this page.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of Wachovia Corporation Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for WB :


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