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Volatility Analysis for United Technologies

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Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price. of United Technologies

Volatility is defined as the price range for a period, divided by the average price for the period:

So, to derive the Daily Volatility on 3/10/2010 of 1.1%, the price range for the day (0.84) was divided by the average price (71.8). The Daily Volatility is obtained by dividing the daily range by the daily average. A longer Volatility period such as Weekly Volatility is obtained by dividing the weekly price range by the weekly mean price. It is important to avoid confusing this with the weekly average of the daily volatility, which is a completely different concept.

For reference, the price is plotted in red. Volatility, as measured through various intervals, ( Daily, Weekly, Monthly and Quarterly) is plotted according to color.

Investors often make a distinction between the concept of Volatility, and the concept of Risk. Academics define them to be exactly equivalent, but as can be seen here, there is good reason to distinguish between the levels of volatility or risk experienced across different time frames. Average Daily Volatility over the history of UTX has been 2% in contrast to the Average Quarterly Volatility of 20%.



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Volatility Curve of United Technologies

If you have ever seen a "yield curve" you should be able to understand the concept behind this "yield curve". These Volatility Curves each apply to a discrete time interval. As the timespan across which Volatility is measured increases, the Volatility is expected to increase. However, as seen in this plot of the UTX Volatility Curve, the increase is not constant.



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UTX:  Daily Volatility Histogram

A frequency distribution of the green points on the first chart (the daily volatility) yields this histogram.



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Quarterly Volatility Histogram of United Technologies

In a similar vein, the Frequency Distribution of the Quarterly Volatility is plotted here. This is the distribution of the values plotted in purple on the top chart from this page.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of United Technologies Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for UTX :


Companies in the News:

In the news, Friday, March 12, 2010: An unfavorable condition has developed with Convergys Corporation, ticker symbol CVG. Also, there are breaking events concerning ConAgra Foods, Inc. (CAG) and Pre-Paid Legal (PPD)

More UTX Technical Analysis Topics

UTX Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Volume Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices of UTX

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

UTX Classical Analysis of Time Series

UTX Historical Volume

UTX Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

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