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Tesoro Corporation Historical Volatility

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Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price. of Tesoro Corporation

Volatility is defined as the price range for a period, divided by the average price for the period:

So, to derive the Daily Volatility on 2/17/2011 of 5.6%, the price range for the day (1.43) was divided by the average price (25.22). Daily Volatility (the daily range as a portion of the daily average price) is plotted in green. Blue is Weekly Volatility, which is the weekly range as a portion of the weekly average price. It is important to avoid confusing this with the weekly average of the daily volatility, which is a completely different concept.

For reference, the price is plotted in red. The remaining marks on the plot correspond to the Volatility measured across several time intervals.

According to academic theory, Volatility is exactly equal to Risk. But investors often make a distinction between these two concepts. The different character of Volatility as seen in different time frames, lends some support to the investor's view. Average Daily Volatility over the history of TSO has been 4% in contrast to the Average Quarterly Volatility of 36%.



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TSO:  Volatility Curve

If you have ever seen a "yield curve" you should be able to understand the concept behind this "yield curve". Each Volatility Curve is a snapshot in time. From left to right, each position plots the Volatility associated with increasing intervals of time. However, as seen in this plot of the TSO Volatility Curve, the increase is not constant.



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TSO:  Daily Volatility Histogram

This histogram is a frequency distribution of Daily Volatility, corresponding to the green points on the first chart on this page.



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TSO:  Quarterly Volatility Histogram

Similarly, the purple points on the top chart, the Quarterly Volatility Values, are subjected to frequency distribution here.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of Tesoro Corporation Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for TSO :


Companies in the News:

In the news, Friday, February 18, 2011: An unfavorable condition has developed with Aetna Inc., ticker symbol AET. Also, there are breaking events concerning Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) and First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (FNFG)

More TSO Technical Analysis Topics

TSO Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Volume Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices of TSO

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

TSO Classical Analysis of Time Series

TSO Historical Volume

TSO Seasonal Trends

Back to TSO Table of Contents


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