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Reynolds American, Inc. Historical Volatility

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Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price. of Reynolds American, Inc.

Volatility is defined as the price range for a period, divided by the average price for the period:

For instance, on 2/18/2011 the average price was 34.41 with a range of 0.46, indicating a Daily Volatility of 1.3%. The Daily Volatility is obtained by dividing the daily range by the daily average. A longer Volatility period such as Weekly Volatility is obtained by dividing the weekly price range by the weekly mean price. This is a different concept from the weekly average of daily volatility.

For reference, the price is plotted in red. The remaining marks on the plot correspond to the Volatility measured across several time intervals.

According to academic theory, Volatility is exactly equal to Risk. But investors often make a distinction between these two concepts. The different character of Volatility as seen in different time frames, lends some support to the investor's view. Average Daily Volatility over the history of RAI has been 2% in contrast to the Average Quarterly Volatility of 23%.



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Volatility Curve of Reynolds American, Inc.

You may be familiar with the "yield curve" which shows how interest bearing yields vary according to term. These Volatility Curves each apply to a discrete time interval. From left to right, each position plots the Volatility associated with increasing intervals of time. However, as seen in this plot of the RAI Volatility Curve, the increase is not constant.



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Daily Volatility Histogram of Reynolds American, Inc.

This histogram is a frequency distribution of Daily Volatility, corresponding to the green points on the first chart on this page.



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RAI:  Quarterly Volatility Histogram

Similarly, the purple points on the top chart, the Quarterly Volatility Values, are subjected to frequency distribution here.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of Reynolds American, Inc. Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for RAI :


Companies in the News:

In the news, Friday, February 18, 2011: An unfavorable condition has developed with Aetna Inc., ticker symbol AET. Also, there are breaking events concerning Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) and First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (FNFG)

More RAI Technical Analysis Topics

RAI Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Volume Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices of RAI

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

RAI Classical Analysis of Time Series

RAI Historical Volume

RAI Seasonal Trends

Back to RAI Table of Contents


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