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PetroCanada Historical Volatility

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PCZ:  Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price.

Volatility is defined as the price range for a period, divided by the average price for the period:

So, to derive the Daily Volatility on 7/31/2009 of 3.9%, the price range for the day (1.63) was divided by the average price (41.19). The Daily Volatility is obtained by dividing the daily range by the daily average. A longer Volatility period such as Weekly Volatility is obtained by dividing the weekly price range by the weekly mean price. This is a different concept from the weekly average of daily volatility.

The red plot shows the actual price. Volatility, as measured through various intervals, ( Daily, Weekly, Monthly and Quarterly) is plotted according to color.

According to academic theory, Volatility is exactly equal to Risk. But investors often make a distinction between these two concepts. The different character of Volatility as seen in different time frames, lends some support to the investor's view. During 14 years, the Average Quarterly Volatility of PCZ stock price has been 25% while the Average Daily Volatility has been 2%.



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PCZ:  Volatility Curve

You may be familiar with the "yield curve" which shows how interest bearing yields vary according to term. Each Volatility Curve is a snapshot in time. As the timespan across which Volatility is measured increases, the Volatility is expected to increase. The relationship between the length of time, and the expected change in price, is not linear, as is demonstrated by this chart.



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PCZ:  Daily Volatility Histogram

A frequency distribution of the green points on the first chart (the daily volatility) yields this histogram.



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PCZ:  Quarterly Volatility Histogram

Similarly, the purple points on the top chart, the Quarterly Volatility Values, are subjected to frequency distribution here.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of PetroCanada Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for PCZ :


Companies in the News:

In the news, Wednesday, March 17, 2010: An unfavorable condition has developed with CIGNA Corporation, ticker symbol CI. Also, there are breaking events concerning LoJack Corp (LOJN) and ConocoPhillips (COP)

More PCZ Technical Analysis Topics

PCZ Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Volume Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices of PCZ

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

PCZ Classical Analysis of Time Series

PCZ Historical Volume

PCZ Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

Back to PCZ Table of Contents


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