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Merck Historical Volatility

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MRK:  Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price.

Volatility is defined as the price range for a period, divided by the average price for the period:

So, to derive the Daily Volatility on 8/27/2010 of 2.2%, the price range for the day (0.79) was divided by the average price (34.72). Daily Volatility (the daily range as a portion of the daily average price) is plotted in green. Blue is Weekly Volatility, which is the weekly range as a portion of the weekly average price. It is important to avoid confusing this with the weekly average of the daily volatility, which is a completely different concept.

The red plot shows the actual price. The remaining marks on the plot correspond to the Volatility measured across several time intervals.

Investors often make a distinction between the concept of Volatility, and the concept of Risk. Academics define them to be exactly equivalent, but as can be seen here, there is good reason to distinguish between the levels of volatility or risk experienced across different time frames. During 30 years, the Average Quarterly Volatility of MRK stock price has been 20% while the Average Daily Volatility has been 2%.



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MRK:  Volatility Curve

If you have ever seen a "yield curve" you should be able to understand the concept behind this "yield curve". These Volatility Curves each apply to a discrete time interval. From left to right, each position plots the Volatility associated with increasing intervals of time. The relationship between the length of time, and the expected change in price, is not linear, as is demonstrated by this chart.



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MRK:  Daily Volatility Histogram

This histogram is a frequency distribution of Daily Volatility, corresponding to the green points on the first chart on this page.



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MRK:  Quarterly Volatility Histogram

Similarly, the purple points on the top chart, the Quarterly Volatility Values, are subjected to frequency distribution here.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of Merck Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for MRK :


Companies in the News:

In the news, Tuesday, September 07, 2010: An unfavorable condition has developed with Brocade Communications Systems, Inc., ticker symbol BRCD. Also, there are breaking events concerning UST Inc. (UST) and Discovery Communications, Inc (DISCA)

More MRK Technical Analysis Topics

MRK Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Politics and Prices of MRK

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

MRK Classical Analysis of Time Series

MRK Historical Volume

MRK Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

Back to MRK Table of Contents


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