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Marriott International, Inc. Historical Volatility

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MAR:  Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price.

Volatility is defined as the price range for a period, divided by the average price for the period:

So, to derive the Daily Volatility on 2/17/2011 of 1.8%, the price range for the day (0.76) was divided by the average price (40.84). Daily Volatility (the daily range as a portion of the daily average price) is plotted in green. Blue is Weekly Volatility, which is the weekly range as a portion of the weekly average price. It is important to avoid confusing this with the weekly average of the daily volatility, which is a completely different concept.

The red plot shows the actual price. The remaining marks on the plot correspond to the Volatility measured across several time intervals.

Investors often make a distinction between the concept of Volatility, and the concept of Risk. Academics define them to be exactly equivalent, but as can be seen here, there is good reason to distinguish between the levels of volatility or risk experienced across different time frames. During 18 years, the Average Quarterly Volatility of MAR stock price has been 23% while the Average Daily Volatility has been 3%.



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MAR:  Volatility Curve

You may be familiar with the "yield curve" which shows how interest bearing yields vary according to term. These Volatility Curves each apply to a discrete time interval. From left to right, each position plots the Volatility associated with increasing intervals of time. However, as seen in this plot of the MAR Volatility Curve, the increase is not constant.



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MAR:  Daily Volatility Histogram

This histogram is a frequency distribution of Daily Volatility, corresponding to the green points on the first chart on this page.



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MAR:  Quarterly Volatility Histogram

In a similar vein, the Frequency Distribution of the Quarterly Volatility is plotted here. This is the distribution of the values plotted in purple on the top chart from this page.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of Marriott International, Inc. Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for MAR :


Companies in the News:

In the news, Friday, February 18, 2011: An unfavorable condition has developed with Aetna Inc., ticker symbol AET. Also, there are breaking events concerning Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) and First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (FNFG)

More MAR Technical Analysis Topics

MAR Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Politics and Prices of MAR

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

Momentum Investing Indicators

MAR Classical Analysis of Time Series

MAR Historical Volume

MAR Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

Back to MAR Table of Contents


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