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Kellogg Company Historical Volatility

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Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price. of Kellogg Company

This chart shows Volatility for Kellogg Company, defined to be the price range as a portion of the average price:

So, to derive the Daily Volatility on 3/2/2010 of 0.8%, the price range for the day (0.45) was divided by the average price (52.55). The Daily Volatility is obtained by dividing the daily range by the daily average. A longer Volatility period such as Weekly Volatility is obtained by dividing the weekly price range by the weekly mean price. This is a different concept from the weekly average of daily volatility.

For reference, the price is plotted in red. Volatility, as measured through various intervals, ( Daily, Weekly, Monthly and Quarterly) is plotted according to color.

Investors often make a distinction between the concept of Volatility, and the concept of Risk. Academics define them to be exactly equivalent, but as can be seen here, there is good reason to distinguish between the levels of volatility or risk experienced across different time frames. Average Daily Volatility over the history of K has been 2% in contrast to the Average Quarterly Volatility of 17%.



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Volatility Curve of Kellogg Company

You may be familiar with the "yield curve" which shows how interest bearing yields vary according to term. Each Volatility Curve is a snapshot in time. As the timespan across which Volatility is measured increases, the Volatility is expected to increase. The relationship between the length of time, and the expected change in price, is not linear, as is demonstrated by this chart.



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Daily Volatility Histogram of Kellogg Company

A frequency distribution of the green points on the first chart (the daily volatility) yields this histogram.



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Quarterly Volatility Histogram of Kellogg Company

Similarly, the purple points on the top chart, the Quarterly Volatility Values, are subjected to frequency distribution here.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of Kellogg Company Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for K :


Companies in the News:

In the news, Friday, March 12, 2010: An unfavorable condition has developed with Convergys Corporation, ticker symbol CVG. Also, there are breaking events concerning ConAgra Foods, Inc. (CAG) and Pre-Paid Legal (PPD)

More K Technical Analysis Topics

K Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Volume Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices of K

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

Momentum Investing Indicators

K Classical Analysis of Time Series

K Historical Volume

K Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

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