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Jabil Circuit, Inc. Historical Volatility

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JBL:  Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price.

Volatility is defined as the price range for a period, divided by the average price for the period:

So, to derive the Daily Volatility on 1/14/2011 of 3.5%, the price range for the day (0.76) was divided by the average price (21.16). Daily Volatility (the daily range as a portion of the daily average price) is plotted in green. Blue is Weekly Volatility, which is the weekly range as a portion of the weekly average price. This is a different concept from the weekly average of daily volatility.

For reference, the price is plotted in red. Volatility, as measured through various intervals, ( Daily, Weekly, Monthly and Quarterly) is plotted according to color.

Investors often make a distinction between the concept of Volatility, and the concept of Risk. Academics define them to be exactly equivalent, but as can be seen here, there is good reason to distinguish between the levels of volatility or risk experienced across different time frames. During 18 years, the Average Quarterly Volatility of JBL stock price has been 48% while the Average Daily Volatility has been 5%.



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Volatility Curve of Jabil Circuit, Inc.

You may be familiar with the "yield curve" which shows how interest bearing yields vary according to term. Each Volatility Curve is a snapshot in time. As the timespan across which Volatility is measured increases, the Volatility is expected to increase. However, as seen in this plot of the JBL Volatility Curve, the increase is not constant.



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Daily Volatility Histogram of Jabil Circuit, Inc.

This histogram is a frequency distribution of Daily Volatility, corresponding to the green points on the first chart on this page.



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JBL:  Quarterly Volatility Histogram

Similarly, the purple points on the top chart, the Quarterly Volatility Values, are subjected to frequency distribution here.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of Jabil Circuit, Inc. Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for JBL :


Companies in the News:

In the news, Friday, February 18, 2011: An unfavorable condition has developed with Aetna Inc., ticker symbol AET. Also, there are breaking events concerning Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) and First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (FNFG)

More JBL Technical Analysis Topics

JBL Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Politics and Prices of JBL

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

JBL Classical Analysis of Time Series

JBL Historical Volume

JBL Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

Back to JBL Table of Contents


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