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Humana Inc. Historical Volatility

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HUM:  Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price.

This chart shows Volatility for Humana Inc., defined to be the price range as a portion of the average price:

So, to derive the Daily Volatility on 12/6/2010 of 1.5%, the price range for the day (0.90) was divided by the average price (56.85). The Daily Volatility is obtained by dividing the daily range by the daily average. A longer Volatility period such as Weekly Volatility is obtained by dividing the weekly price range by the weekly mean price. It is important to avoid confusing this with the weekly average of the daily volatility, which is a completely different concept.

For reference, the price is plotted in red. Volatility, as measured through various intervals, ( Daily, Weekly, Monthly and Quarterly) is plotted according to color.

According to academic theory, Volatility is exactly equal to Risk. But investors often make a distinction between these two concepts. The different character of Volatility as seen in different time frames, lends some support to the investor's view. Average Daily Volatility over the history of HUM has been 3% in contrast to the Average Quarterly Volatility of 31%.



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Volatility Curve of Humana Inc.

If you have ever seen a "yield curve" you should be able to understand the concept behind this "yield curve". Each Volatility Curve is a snapshot in time. From left to right, each position plots the Volatility associated with increasing intervals of time. The relationship between the length of time, and the expected change in price, is not linear, as is demonstrated by this chart.



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HUM:  Daily Volatility Histogram

This histogram is a frequency distribution of Daily Volatility, corresponding to the green points on the first chart on this page.



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Quarterly Volatility Histogram of Humana Inc.

Similarly, the purple points on the top chart, the Quarterly Volatility Values, are subjected to frequency distribution here.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of Humana Inc. Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for HUM :


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More HUM Technical Analysis Topics

HUM Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Volume Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices of HUM

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

Momentum Investing Indicators

HUM Classical Analysis of Time Series

HUM Historical Volume

HUM Seasonal Trends

Back to HUM Table of Contents


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