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H.J. Heinz Company Historical Volatility

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HNZ:  Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price.

Volatility is defined as the price range for a period, divided by the average price for the period:

So, to derive the Daily Volatility on 2/9/2011 of 0.8%, the price range for the day (0.40) was divided by the average price (48.39). The Daily Volatility is obtained by dividing the daily range by the daily average. A longer Volatility period such as Weekly Volatility is obtained by dividing the weekly price range by the weekly mean price. It is important to avoid confusing this with the weekly average of the daily volatility, which is a completely different concept.

The red plot shows the actual price. The remaining marks on the plot correspond to the Volatility measured across several time intervals.

Investors often make a distinction between the concept of Volatility, and the concept of Risk. Academics define them to be exactly equivalent, but as can be seen here, there is good reason to distinguish between the levels of volatility or risk experienced across different time frames. During 27 years, the Average Quarterly Volatility of HNZ stock price has been 16% while the Average Daily Volatility has been 2%.



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Volatility Curve of H.J. Heinz Company

If you have ever seen a "yield curve" you should be able to understand the concept behind this "yield curve". Each Volatility Curve is a snapshot in time. As the timespan across which Volatility is measured increases, the Volatility is expected to increase. The relationship between the length of time, and the expected change in price, is not linear, as is demonstrated by this chart.



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Daily Volatility Histogram of H.J. Heinz Company

This histogram is a frequency distribution of Daily Volatility, corresponding to the green points on the first chart on this page.



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HNZ:  Quarterly Volatility Histogram

Similarly, the purple points on the top chart, the Quarterly Volatility Values, are subjected to frequency distribution here.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of H.J. Heinz Company Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for HNZ :


Companies in the News:

In the news, Friday, February 18, 2011: An unfavorable condition has developed with Aetna Inc., ticker symbol AET. Also, there are breaking events concerning Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) and First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (FNFG)

More HNZ Technical Analysis Topics

HNZ Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Volume Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices of HNZ

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

HNZ Classical Analysis of Time Series

HNZ Historical Volume

HNZ Seasonal Trends

Back to HNZ Table of Contents


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