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W.W. Grainger, Inc. Historical Volatility

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GWW:  Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price.

Volatility is defined as the price range for a period, divided by the average price for the period:

So, to derive the Daily Volatility on 12/23/2010 of 0.3%, the price range for the day (0.53) was divided by the average price (138.04). The Daily Volatility is obtained by dividing the daily range by the daily average. A longer Volatility period such as Weekly Volatility is obtained by dividing the weekly price range by the weekly mean price. This is a different concept from the weekly average of daily volatility.

For reference, the price is plotted in red. The remaining marks on the plot correspond to the Volatility measured across several time intervals.

Investors often make a distinction between the concept of Volatility, and the concept of Risk. Academics define them to be exactly equivalent, but as can be seen here, there is good reason to distinguish between the levels of volatility or risk experienced across different time frames. During 26 years, the Average Quarterly Volatility of GWW stock price has been 20% while the Average Daily Volatility has been 2%.



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Volatility Curve of W.W. Grainger, Inc.

If you have ever seen a "yield curve" you should be able to understand the concept behind this "yield curve". Each Volatility Curve is a snapshot in time. From left to right, each position plots the Volatility associated with increasing intervals of time. The relationship between the length of time, and the expected change in price, is not linear, as is demonstrated by this chart.



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Daily Volatility Histogram of W.W. Grainger, Inc.

A frequency distribution of the green points on the first chart (the daily volatility) yields this histogram.



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Quarterly Volatility Histogram of W.W. Grainger, Inc.

Similarly, the purple points on the top chart, the Quarterly Volatility Values, are subjected to frequency distribution here.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of W.W. Grainger, Inc. Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for GWW :


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More GWW Technical Analysis Topics

GWW Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Politics and Prices of GWW

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

GWW Classical Analysis of Time Series

GWW Historical Volume

GWW Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

Back to GWW Table of Contents


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