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General Dynamics Historical Volatility

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Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price. of General Dynamics

Volatility is defined as the price range for a period, divided by the average price for the period:

For instance, on 1/28/2011 the average price was 75.02 with a range of 2.35, indicating a Daily Volatility of 3.1%. Daily Volatility (the daily range as a portion of the daily average price) is plotted in green. Blue is Weekly Volatility, which is the weekly range as a portion of the weekly average price. It is important to avoid confusing this with the weekly average of the daily volatility, which is a completely different concept.

For reference, the price is plotted in red. The remaining marks on the plot correspond to the Volatility measured across several time intervals.

Investors often make a distinction between the concept of Volatility, and the concept of Risk. Academics define them to be exactly equivalent, but as can be seen here, there is good reason to distinguish between the levels of volatility or risk experienced across different time frames. Average Daily Volatility over the history of GD has been 2% in contrast to the Average Quarterly Volatility of 22%.



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GD:  Volatility Curve

If you have ever seen a "yield curve" you should be able to understand the concept behind this "yield curve". Each Volatility Curve is a snapshot in time. From left to right, each position plots the Volatility associated with increasing intervals of time. However, as seen in this plot of the GD Volatility Curve, the increase is not constant.



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Daily Volatility Histogram of General Dynamics

A frequency distribution of the green points on the first chart (the daily volatility) yields this histogram.



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GD:  Quarterly Volatility Histogram

In a similar vein, the Frequency Distribution of the Quarterly Volatility is plotted here. This is the distribution of the values plotted in purple on the top chart from this page.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of General Dynamics Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for GD :


Companies in the News:

In the news, Friday, February 18, 2011: An unfavorable condition has developed with Aetna Inc., ticker symbol AET. Also, there are breaking events concerning Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) and First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (FNFG)

More GD Technical Analysis Topics

GD Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Volume Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices of GD

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

GD Classical Analysis of Time Series

GD Historical Volume

GD Seasonal Trends

Back to GD Table of Contents


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