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Coventry Health Care, Inc. Historical Volatility

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CVH:  Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price.

This chart shows Volatility for Coventry Health Care, Inc., defined to be the price range as a portion of the average price:

So, to derive the Daily Volatility on 2/18/2011 of 1.7%, the price range for the day (0.54) was divided by the average price (30.55). The Daily Volatility is obtained by dividing the daily range by the daily average. A longer Volatility period such as Weekly Volatility is obtained by dividing the weekly price range by the weekly mean price. It is important to avoid confusing this with the weekly average of the daily volatility, which is a completely different concept.

The red plot shows the actual price. Volatility, as measured through various intervals, ( Daily, Weekly, Monthly and Quarterly) is plotted according to color.

Investors often make a distinction between the concept of Volatility, and the concept of Risk. Academics define them to be exactly equivalent, but as can be seen here, there is good reason to distinguish between the levels of volatility or risk experienced across different time frames. During 20 years, the Average Quarterly Volatility of CVH stock price has been 40% while the Average Daily Volatility has been 4%.



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Volatility Curve of Coventry Health Care, Inc.

If you have ever seen a "yield curve" you should be able to understand the concept behind this "yield curve". These Volatility Curves each apply to a discrete time interval. From left to right, each position plots the Volatility associated with increasing intervals of time. The relationship between the length of time, and the expected change in price, is not linear, as is demonstrated by this chart.



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CVH:  Daily Volatility Histogram

A frequency distribution of the green points on the first chart (the daily volatility) yields this histogram.



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Quarterly Volatility Histogram of Coventry Health Care, Inc.

Similarly, the purple points on the top chart, the Quarterly Volatility Values, are subjected to frequency distribution here.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of Coventry Health Care, Inc. Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for CVH :


Companies in the News:

In the news, Friday, February 18, 2011: An unfavorable condition has developed with Aetna Inc., ticker symbol AET. Also, there are breaking events concerning Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) and First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (FNFG)

More CVH Technical Analysis Topics

CVH Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Politics and Prices of CVH

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

Momentum Investing Indicators

CVH Classical Analysis of Time Series

CVH Historical Volume

CVH Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

Back to CVH Table of Contents


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