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Volatility Analysis for The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation

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Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price. of The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation

This chart shows Volatility for The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation, defined to be the price range as a portion of the average price:

So, to derive the Daily Volatility on 2/15/2011 of 2.8%, the price range for the day (0.89) was divided by the average price (31.41). Daily Volatility (the daily range as a portion of the daily average price) is plotted in green. Blue is Weekly Volatility, which is the weekly range as a portion of the weekly average price. It is important to avoid confusing this with the weekly average of the daily volatility, which is a completely different concept.

For reference, the price is plotted in red. The remaining marks on the plot correspond to the Volatility measured across several time intervals.

Investors often make a distinction between the concept of Volatility, and the concept of Risk. Academics define them to be exactly equivalent, but as can be seen here, there is good reason to distinguish between the levels of volatility or risk experienced across different time frames. During 27 years, the Average Quarterly Volatility of BK stock price has been 24% while the Average Daily Volatility has been 3%.



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BK:  Volatility Curve

If you have ever seen a "yield curve" you should be able to understand the concept behind this "yield curve". Each Volatility Curve is a snapshot in time. From left to right, each position plots the Volatility associated with increasing intervals of time. The relationship between the length of time, and the expected change in price, is not linear, as is demonstrated by this chart.



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Daily Volatility Histogram of The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation

A frequency distribution of the green points on the first chart (the daily volatility) yields this histogram.



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BK:  Quarterly Volatility Histogram

In a similar vein, the Frequency Distribution of the Quarterly Volatility is plotted here. This is the distribution of the values plotted in purple on the top chart from this page.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for BK :


Companies in the News:

In the news, Friday, February 18, 2011: An unfavorable condition has developed with Aetna Inc., ticker symbol AET. Also, there are breaking events concerning Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) and First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (FNFG)

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