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American Electric Power Company, Inc. Historical Volatility

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Daily Volatility = Price Range as a percent of the daily average price. of American Electric Power Company, Inc.

Volatility is defined as the price range for a period, divided by the average price for the period:

So, to derive the Daily Volatility on 1/11/2011 of 0.6%, the price range for the day (0.25) was divided by the average price (35.88). The Daily Volatility is obtained by dividing the daily range by the daily average. A longer Volatility period such as Weekly Volatility is obtained by dividing the weekly price range by the weekly mean price. It is important to avoid confusing this with the weekly average of the daily volatility, which is a completely different concept.

The red plot shows the actual price. The remaining marks on the plot correspond to the Volatility measured across several time intervals.

According to academic theory, Volatility is exactly equal to Risk. But investors often make a distinction between these two concepts. The different character of Volatility as seen in different time frames, lends some support to the investor's view. Average Daily Volatility over the history of AEP has been 2% in contrast to the Average Quarterly Volatility of 15%.



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Volatility Curve of American Electric Power Company, Inc.

If you have ever seen a "yield curve" you should be able to understand the concept behind this "yield curve". These Volatility Curves each apply to a discrete time interval. From left to right, each position plots the Volatility associated with increasing intervals of time. The relationship between the length of time, and the expected change in price, is not linear, as is demonstrated by this chart.



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Daily Volatility Histogram of American Electric Power Company, Inc.

This histogram is a frequency distribution of Daily Volatility, corresponding to the green points on the first chart on this page.



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AEP:  Quarterly Volatility Histogram

Similarly, the purple points on the top chart, the Quarterly Volatility Values, are subjected to frequency distribution here.

For Subscribers: Refined Analysis of American Electric Power Company, Inc. Volatility and Risk Behavior

Refined Volatility Risk Analysis for AEP :


Companies in the News:

In the news, Friday, February 18, 2011: An unfavorable condition has developed with Aetna Inc., ticker symbol AET. Also, there are breaking events concerning Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) and First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (FNFG)

More AEP Technical Analysis Topics

AEP Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Politics and Prices of AEP

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

Momentum Investing Indicators

AEP Classical Analysis of Time Series

AEP Historical Volume

AEP Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

Back to AEP Table of Contents


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