Chapter VIII: Volume Stratification Analysis (or VSA) follows price behavior in relation to historical volumes of WMT stock sales. Knowledge of these behaviors gives us a quantitative metric useful for understanding Support or Resistance Levels, and predicting their strength. |
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| The Volumetric Profile is the central concept behind Volume Stratification Analysis. This is nothing more than the cummulative volume according to price range. The red bar marks the price range corresponding to the current price of WMT shares. |
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Blue bars depict the Volumetric Profile for various price levels of Walmart. The thick orange line is the Volumetric Price and the maroon line is the Secular Price. General Volumetric Health is 1 on a scale from 1 (best) to 3 (worst), because the price is above the Volumetric line, indicating some positive market sentiment. A few layers of volumetric turbulence exist that could provide support on the downside. The most significant of these is found around $48. |
| Support Level ID | Price Range | Peak Magnitude |
| 1 | $48.00 - $48.99 | 5.65 |
| 2 | $27.00 - $27.99 | 0.33 |
| 3 | $11.00 - $11.99 | 4.47 |
| Looking above today's price, there no significant resistance level to act as a ceiling on upward movement. |
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| Horizontal maroon lines indicate Negative Volumetric Peaks. Price intervals with these characteristics are often associated with gaps, although they sometimes operate as support levels. Quarterly and yearly turn-arounds are circled. $20 is the most significant of several valleys (i.e. negative peaks) in today's profile underneath the current price for WMT. |
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| Here, the horizontal lines mark the points of Maximum Negative Slope in the Volumetric Profile. These strata are known to act as resistance levels against upward movement, and are sometimes associated with yearly and quarterly tops. Also, as is typical of resistance levels, they may do double duty as support, but that is not the typical case. |
For Members: Deeper Analysis, with Price Predictions for WMT Common Stock |
| Wednesday, July 01, 2009: We have news on Public Service Enterprise Group Inc., ticker symbol PEG. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning The Travelers Companies, Inc. and Kellogg Company. From the News Archive: (7/1/2009 ) Favorable events happened at Allegheny Energy, Inc., Bank of America Corporation, and American International Group, Inc.. Meanwhile, bad news came from Lexmark International, Inc.. |