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Technical Analysis Predictions for AOL Time Warner - TWX

Chapter VIII: Volume Stratification Analysis tracks the volumes associated with price levels over the entire history of a stock. The resulting analysis yields a framework for understanding the mechanism behind support and resistance levels, and a scientific basis for predicting price behaviors due to those levels.


Part I: The Volumetric Profile for AOL Time Warner.



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Cumulative Volume by Price of AOL Time Warner

The Volumetric Profile is the central concept behind Volume Stratification Analysis. This is nothing more than the cummulative volume according to price range. The red bar marks the price range corresponding to the current price of TWX shares.








Part II: Primary Volumetric Support and Resistance for TWX common stock.



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TWX:  Volume Stratification Profile

Blue bars depict the Volumetric Profile for various price levels of AOL Time Warner. The thick orange line is the Volumetric Price and the maroon line is the Secular Price. The Volumetric average at $37 is below the Secular average at $40. This is a very un-usual condition.

Almost no volumetric support exists underneath the current price.





Several minor strata of volumetric turbulence could exert resistance against price appreciation, most notably, the peak at $34.


Resistance Level IDPrice RangePeak Magnitude
1$34.00 - $34.996.86
2$76.00 - $76.990.47
3$88.00 - $88.990.47
4$112.00 - $112.990.52









Part III: Secondary Analytical Support and Resistance for AOL Time Warner Stock Prices


Secondary Support Levels for TWX

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Volumetric Minimum Strata of AOL Time Warner

Horizontal maroon lines indicate Negative Volumetric Peaks. Price intervals with these characteristics are often associated with gaps, although they sometimes operate as support levels. Quarterly and yearly turn-arounds are circled. Only one volumetric minima (valley) is to be found near the $14 level.




Secondary Resistance Levels for TWX

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TWX:  Maximum Negative Slope Strata

Here, the horizontal lines mark the points of Maximum Negative Slope in the Volumetric Profile. These strata are known to act as resistance levels against upward movement, and are sometimes associated with yearly and quarterly tops. Also, as is typical of resistance levels, they may do double duty as support, but that is not the typical case.







For Members: Deeper Analysis, with Price Predictions for TWX Common Stock




Companies in the News:

In the news, Friday, March 12, 2010: An unfavorable condition has developed with Convergys Corporation, ticker symbol CVG. Also, there are breaking events concerning ConAgra Foods, Inc. (CAG) and Pre-Paid Legal (PPD)

More TWX Technical Analysis Topics

TWX Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Politics and Prices of TWX

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

Momentum Investing Indicators

TWX Classical Analysis of Time Series

TWX Historical Volume

TWX Risk-Volatility Analysis

TWX Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

Back to TWX Table of Contents


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