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Technical Analysis Predictions for Philip Morris - MO

Chapter VIII: A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision.


Part I: The Volumetric Profile for Philip Morris.



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MO:  Cumulative Volume by Price

The Volumetric Profile is the central concept behind Volume Stratification Analysis. This Profile is simply the cumulative volume over the history of the stock, distributed according to price range. Here the price column corresponding to the current price of MO stock is painted in red.








Part II: Primary Volumetric Support and Resistance for MO common stock.



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Volume Stratification Profile of Philip Morris

Blue bars depict the Volumetric Profile for various price levels of Philip Morris. The thick orange line is the Volumetric Price and the maroon line is the Secular Price. General Volumetric Health is 1 on a scale from 1 (best) to 3 (worst), because the price is above the Volumetric line, indicating some positive market sentiment.

Two levels of volumetric turbulence underlie today's price. They are at (approximately) $24 and $17. The strongest is near the $17 strata.



Support Level IDPrice RangePeak Magnitude
1$24.00 - $24.990.64
2$17.00 - $17.992.52


Looking above today's price, there no significant resistance level to act as a ceiling on upward movement.











Part III: Secondary Analytical Support and Resistance for Philip Morris Stock Prices


Secondary Support Levels for MO

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Volumetric Minimum Strata of Philip Morris

Horizontal maroon lines indicate Negative Volumetric Peaks. Price intervals with these characteristics are often associated with gaps, although they sometimes operate as support levels. Quarterly and yearly turn-arounds are circled. Only one volumetric minima (valley) is to be found near the $10 level.




Secondary Resistance Levels for MO

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MO:  Maximum Negative Slope Strata

Here, the horizontal lines mark the points of Maximum Negative Slope in the Volumetric Profile. These strata are known to act as resistance levels against upward movement, and are sometimes associated with yearly and quarterly tops. Also, as is typical of resistance levels, they may do double duty as support, but that is not the typical case.







For Members: Deeper Analysis, with Price Predictions for MO Common Stock




Companies in the News:

In the news, Friday, February 18, 2011: An unfavorable condition has developed with Aetna Inc., ticker symbol AET. Also, there are breaking events concerning Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) and First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (FNFG)

More MO Technical Analysis Topics

MO Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Politics and Prices of MO

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

Momentum Investing Indicators

MO Classical Analysis of Time Series

MO Historical Volume

MO Risk-Volatility Analysis

MO Seasonal Trends

Back to MO Table of Contents


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