Chapter VIII: A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. |
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| The Volumetric Profile is the central concept behind Volume Stratification Analysis. This is nothing more than the cummulative volume according to price range. The red bar marks the price range corresponding to the current price of FOSL shares. |
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Blue bars depict the Volumetric Profile for various price levels of Fossil, Inc.. The thick orange line is the Volumetric Price and the maroon line is the Secular Price. General Volumetric Health is 1 on a scale from 1 (best) to 3 (worst), because the price is above the Volumetric line, indicating some positive market sentiment. A few layers of volumetric turbulence exist that could provide support on the downside. The most significant of these is found around $17. |
| Support Level ID | Price Range | Peak Magnitude |
| 1 | $79.00 - $79.99 | 0.12 |
| 2 | $68.00 - $68.99 | 0.45 |
| 3 | $53.00 - $53.99 | 0.32 |
| 4 | $17.00 - $17.99 | 3.48 |
| Looking above today's price, there no significant resistance level to act as a ceiling on upward movement. |
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| Horizontal maroon lines indicate Negative Volumetric Peaks. Price intervals with these characteristics are often associated with gaps, although they sometimes operate as support levels. Quarterly and yearly turn-arounds are circled. $64 is the most significant of several valleys (i.e. negative peaks) in today's profile underneath the current price for FOSL. |
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| Here, the horizontal lines mark the points of Maximum Negative Slope in the Volumetric Profile. These strata are known to act as resistance levels against upward movement, and are sometimes associated with yearly and quarterly tops. Also, as is typical of resistance levels, they may do double duty as support, but that is not the typical case. |
For Members: Deeper Analysis, with Price Predictions for FOSL Common Stock |
| In the news, Friday, February 18, 2011: An unfavorable condition has developed with Aetna Inc., ticker symbol AET. Also, there are breaking events concerning Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) and First Niagara Financial Group Inc. (FNFG) |