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Technical Analysis Predictions for Alcatel - ALA

Chapter VIII: Volume Stratification Analysis tracks the volumes associated with price levels over the entire history of a stock. The resulting analysis yields a framework for understanding the mechanism behind support and resistance levels, and a scientific basis for predicting price behaviors due to those levels.


Part I: The Volumetric Profile for Alcatel.



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ALA:  Cumulative Volume by Price

Volume Stratification Analysis begins with the concept of the Volumetric Profile. This is nothing more than the cummulative volume according to price range. The red bar marks the price range corresponding to the current price of ALA shares.








Part II: Primary Volumetric Support and Resistance for ALA common stock.



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Volume Stratification Profile of Alcatel

Blue bars depict the Volumetric Profile for various price levels of Alcatel. The thick orange line is the Volumetric Price and the maroon line is the Secular Price. General Volumetric Health is 3 on a scale from 1 (best) to 3 (worst), because the price at $13 is below both the Volumetric and the Secular lines, indicating an issue that has entirely lost reputation in the market.

Almost no volumetric support exists underneath the current price.





Several minor strata of volumetric turbulence could exert resistance against price appreciation, most notably, the peak at $13.


Resistance Level IDPrice RangePeak Magnitude
1$13.00 - $13.995.50
2$42.00 - $42.991.03
3$61.00 - $61.990.69
4$71.00 - $71.990.40











Part III: Secondary Analytical Support and Resistance for Alcatel Stock Prices


Secondary Support Levels for ALA

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ALA:  Volumetric Minimum Strata

Horizontal maroon lines indicate Negative Volumetric Peaks. Price intervals with these characteristics are often associated with gaps, although they sometimes operate as support levels. Quarterly and yearly turn-arounds are circled. No major Volumetric Minima exist to support the current price




Secondary Resistance Levels for ALA

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ALA:  Maximum Negative Slope Strata

Here, the horizontal lines mark the points of Maximum Negative Slope in the Volumetric Profile. These strata are known to act as resistance levels against upward movement, and are sometimes associated with yearly and quarterly tops. Also, as is typical of resistance levels, they may do double duty as support, but that is not the typical case.







For Members: Deeper Analysis, with Price Predictions for ALA Common Stock




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Wednesday, July 01, 2009: We have news on Pitney Bowes Inc., ticker symbol PBI. A significant moving average event has happened. Also, there are breaking events concerning Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. and Pinnacle West Capital Corporation.

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More ALA Technical Analysis Topics

ALA Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Politics and Prices of ALA

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

Momentum Investing Indicators

ALA Classical Analysis of Time Series

ALA Historical Volume

ALA Risk-Volatility Analysis

ALA Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

Back to ALA Table of Contents


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