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Independent Price Predictions for Dow Industrials

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DJIA:  Profitability during each Month

Some recent Technical Signals and Predictions from several entities are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to each other on a scale with recent prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars show technical signals. The impact of these signals is typically short-term. Conventional target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The green shaded ovals depict probability densities of response surface projections. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.





Dow Industrials - Recent Technical Signals

A recent interesting signal was the WilderRSI80or20 seen on Monday, December 20, 2010.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
12/20/2010WilderRSI80or20S-73.00 %-20.00 %
12/16/2010CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModalS-39.00 %-15.00 %
12/13/2010CalibratedWilderRSIS-23.00 %-11.00 %
12/9/2010Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
12/6/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
11/17/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
11/16/2010Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
10/4/2010BiWeeklySawTooth50xingS-34.00 %-15.00 %
9/27/2010SMA20Over200DivergenceS-29.00 %-12.00 %
9/15/2010SMA5Over200DivergenceS-25.00 %-12.00 %



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DJIA:  Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy

Past predictions are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to the actual prices that occurred.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Prediction #1 for DJIA
Analyst: D.B. VeblenPrediction: Ceiling PriceBase Date: 1/11/2011
Nearest Volumetric Price CeilingTarget Date: 4/9/2011
Base Price: $11671.88Target Price: $12300.50
Prediction #2 for DJIA
Analyst: D.B. VeblenPrediction: Support PriceBase Date: 1/11/2011
Nearest Volumetric Price FloorTarget Date: 4/9/2011
Base Price: $11671.88Target Price: $10350.00
Prediction #3 for DJIA
Analyst: D.B. VeblenPrediction: Support PriceBase Date: 1/11/2011
Volumetric Mean As FloorTarget Date: 4/9/2011
Base Price: $11671.88Target Price: $9713.59
Prediction #4 for DJIA
Analyst: R.S.A. Smith Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 1/11/2011
NVI Response90Target Date: 4/9/2011
Base Price: $11671.88Target Price: $12068.94
Prediction #5 for DJIA
Analyst: R.S. Adams Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 1/11/2011
Phase200 Response90Target Date: 4/9/2011
Base Price: $11671.88Target Price: $12007.60
Prediction #6 for DJIA
Analyst: E.S. ChasePrediction: Target PriceBase Date: 1/11/2011
Monthly QuarterTerm Potential AppreciationTarget Date: 4/9/2011
Base Price: $11671.88Target Price: $12433.50
Prediction #7 for DJIA
Analyst: T. PearsonPrediction: Target PriceBase Date: 1/11/2011
Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential AppreciationTarget Date: 4/9/2011
Base Price: $11671.88Target Price: $11793.32
Prediction #8 for DJIA
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 1/11/2011
Raw Least Squares TrendTarget Date: 4/9/2011
Base Price: $11671.88Target Price: $11745.86
Prediction #9 for DJIA
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 1/11/2011
Deseasonalized Least Squares TrendTarget Date: 4/9/2011
Base Price: $11671.88Target Price: $11745.90
Prediction #10 for DJIA
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 1/11/2011
Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear TrendTarget Date: 4/9/2011
Base Price: $11671.88Target Price: $11498.78
Prediction #11 for DJIA
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 1/11/2011
Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal AdjustmentTarget Date: 4/9/2011
Base Price: $11671.88Target Price: $11499.33
Prediction #12 for DJIA
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 1/11/2011
5 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal AdjustmentTarget Date: 4/9/2011
Base Price: $11671.88Target Price: $11257.40


Note: Predictions may conflict with one another because they from several sources. The next page rates the reliability of each prediction source against the historical record, and gives a final composite prediction which is weighted according to the previous success of predictions from the individual analyst.






Trend Reversal Levels

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 Daily Support and Resistance of Dow Industrials


Trend reversals at various price levels form the color scheme for the background of this chart. As prices cross levels with diferent characteristics, the rate of the price movement will be changed or even reversed. For more details of these maps, see Support and Resistance.



Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Dow Industrials from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


For Subscribers: Refined Predictions for Dow Industrials

Refined Stock Price Predictions for DJIA :


Companies in the News:

Friday, February 18, 2011: We have news on Fiserv, Inc., ticker symbol FISV. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning Zimmer Holdings, Inc. and D.R. Horton, Inc..

From the News Archive: (2/18/2011 ) Favorable events happened at Robert Half International Inc. and Southwestern Energy Company. Meanwhile, bad news came from McCormick & Company, Incorporated and Reynolds American, Inc..


More DJIA Technical Analysis Topics

Support and Resistance Levels

Politics and Prices of DJIA

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

DJIA Classical Analysis of Time Series

DJIA Historical Volume

DJIA Risk-Volatility Analysis

DJIA Seasonal Trends

Back to DJIA Table of Contents


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Notice: Pages available to the public on this site are for entertainment and academic purposes only. We do not advocate investment in common stock. We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who invest in common stock will lose money. Charts and concepts are property of Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. All Content is Copyright 2010 by Hybrid Technical

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