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DJIA- Various Price Predictions for Dow Industrials

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Profitability during each Month of Dow Industrials

Some recent Technical Signals and Predictions from several entities are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to each other on a scale with recent prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars mark conventional technical signals. The impact of these signals is short-term, so they may only effect prices for a day or two. The longer-term target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The shaded green circles depict the probability densities of response surface forecasts. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.





Dow Industrials - Recent Technical Signals

A recent interesting signal was the SMA5Over20Divergence seen on Thursday, February 18, 2010.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
2/18/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
1/22/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
1/19/2010BiWeeklySawTooth70or30S-26.00 %-9.00 %
12/30/2009Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
12/24/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
12/22/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
12/22/2009BiWeeklySawTooth70or30S-26.00 %-9.00 %
12/11/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
12/10/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
11/11/2009Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %



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Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy of Dow Industrials

This plot shows the actual results of last quarter's XML source forecasts.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Prediction #1 for DJIA
Analyst: D.B. VeblenPrediction: Ceiling PriceBase Date: 3/3/2010
Nearest Volumetric Price CeilingTarget Date: 5/30/2010
Base Price: $10396.76Target Price: $12300.50
Prediction #2 for DJIA
Analyst: D.B. VeblenPrediction: Support PriceBase Date: 3/3/2010
Nearest Volumetric Price FloorTarget Date: 5/30/2010
Base Price: $10396.76Target Price: $10350.00
Prediction #3 for DJIA
Analyst: D.B. VeblenPrediction: Support PriceBase Date: 3/3/2010
Volumetric Mean As FloorTarget Date: 5/30/2010
Base Price: $10396.76Target Price: $9591.15
Prediction #4 for DJIA
Analyst: R.S.A. Smith Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 3/3/2010
NVI Response90Target Date: 5/30/2010
Base Price: $10396.76Target Price: $10750.44
Prediction #5 for DJIA
Analyst: R.S. Adams Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 3/3/2010
Phase200 Response90Target Date: 5/30/2010
Base Price: $10396.76Target Price: $10766.33
Prediction #6 for DJIA
Analyst: E.S. ChasePrediction: Target PriceBase Date: 3/3/2010
Monthly QuarterTerm Potential AppreciationTarget Date: 5/30/2010
Base Price: $10396.76Target Price: $11197.26
Prediction #7 for DJIA
Analyst: S.A. Chi Prediction: Ceiling PriceBase Date: 3/3/2010
Upper limit of typical VolatilityTarget Date: 5/30/2010
Base Price: $10396.76Target Price: $11066.68
Prediction #8 for DJIA
Analyst: S.A. Chi Prediction: Support PriceBase Date: 3/3/2010
Lower limit of typical VolatilityTarget Date: 5/30/2010
Base Price: $10396.76Target Price: $9727.34
Prediction #9 for DJIA
Analyst: T. PearsonPrediction: Target PriceBase Date: 3/3/2010
Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential AppreciationTarget Date: 5/30/2010
Base Price: $10396.76Target Price: $10549.53
Prediction #10 for DJIA
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 3/3/2010
Raw Least Squares TrendTarget Date: 5/30/2010
Base Price: $10396.76Target Price: $10516.88
Prediction #11 for DJIA
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 3/3/2010
Deseasonalized Least Squares TrendTarget Date: 5/30/2010
Base Price: $10396.76Target Price: $10516.92
Prediction #12 for DJIA
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 3/3/2010
Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear TrendTarget Date: 5/30/2010
Base Price: $10396.76Target Price: $10324.90
Prediction #13 for DJIA
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 3/3/2010
Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal AdjustmentTarget Date: 5/30/2010
Base Price: $10396.76Target Price: $10434.63
Prediction #14 for DJIA
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 3/3/2010
5 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal AdjustmentTarget Date: 5/30/2010
Base Price: $10396.76Target Price: $10244.11


Note: Predictions may conflict with one another because they from several sources. The next page rates the reliability of each prediction source against the historical record, and gives a final composite prediction which is weighted according to the previous success of predictions from the individual analyst.






Trend Reversal Levels

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 Daily Support and Resistance of Dow Industrials


Trend reversals at various price levels form the color scheme for the background of this chart. As prices cross levels with diferent characteristics, the rate of the price movement will be changed or even reversed. For more details of these maps, see Support and Resistance.



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 Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface of Dow Industrials
Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Dow Industrials from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


For Subscribers: Refined Predictions for Dow Industrials

Refined Stock Price Predictions for DJIA :


Companies in the News:

In the news, Friday, March 12, 2010: An unfavorable condition has developed with Convergys Corporation, ticker symbol CVG. Also, there are breaking events concerning ConAgra Foods, Inc. (CAG) and Pre-Paid Legal (PPD)

More DJIA Technical Analysis Topics

Support and Resistance Levels

Politics and Prices of DJIA

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

DJIA Classical Analysis of Time Series

DJIA Historical Volume

DJIA Risk-Volatility Analysis

DJIA Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

Back to DJIA Table of Contents


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Notice: Pages available to the public on this site are for entertainment and academic purposes only. We do not advocate investment in common stock. We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who invest in common stock will lose money. Charts and concepts are property of Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. All Content is Copyright 2008 by Hybrid Technical

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