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Cincinnati Financial Corporation - Independent Predictions

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Profitability during each Month of Cincinnati Financial Corporation

This plot shows recent signals and predictions from several XML sources in relation to recent prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars mark conventional technical signals. The impact of these signals is short-term, so they may only effect prices for a day or two. The longer-term target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The shaded green circles depict the probability densities of response surface forecasts. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.





Cincinnati Financial Corporation - Recent Technical Signals

A recent interesting signal was the SMA5Over20Divergence seen on Wednesday, December 01, 2010.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
12/1/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
11/30/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
11/26/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
11/15/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
11/5/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
11/2/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
10/18/2010Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
10/13/2010CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModalS-39.00 %-15.00 %
10/11/2010Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
9/29/2010BiWeeklySawTooth50xingS-34.00 %-15.00 %
9/17/2010Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %



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Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy of Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Previous forecasts from several of the XML Price Prediction services are shown compared to actual performance.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Prediction #1 for CINF
Analyst: D.B. VeblenPrediction: Ceiling PriceBase Date: 12/10/2010
Nearest Volumetric Price CeilingTarget Date: 3/8/2011
Base Price: $31.52Target Price: $38.50
Prediction #2 for CINF
Analyst: D.B. VeblenPrediction: Support PriceBase Date: 12/10/2010
Nearest Volumetric Price FloorTarget Date: 3/8/2011
Base Price: $31.52Target Price: $30.00
Prediction #3 for CINF
Analyst: D.B. VeblenPrediction: Support PriceBase Date: 12/10/2010
Volumetric Mean As FloorTarget Date: 3/8/2011
Base Price: $31.52Target Price: $24.19
Prediction #4 for CINF
Analyst: R.S.A. Smith Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 12/10/2010
NVI Response90Target Date: 3/8/2011
Base Price: $31.52Target Price: $32.58
Prediction #5 for CINF
Analyst: R.S. Adams Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 12/10/2010
Phase200 Response90Target Date: 3/8/2011
Base Price: $31.52Target Price: $32.48
Prediction #6 for CINF
Analyst: E.S. ChasePrediction: Target PriceBase Date: 12/10/2010
Monthly QuarterTerm Potential AppreciationTarget Date: 3/8/2011
Base Price: $31.52Target Price: $34.22
Prediction #7 for CINF
Analyst: S.A. Chi Prediction: Ceiling PriceBase Date: 12/10/2010
Upper limit of typical VolatilityTarget Date: 3/8/2011
Base Price: $31.52Target Price: $34.89
Prediction #8 for CINF
Analyst: S.A. Chi Prediction: Support PriceBase Date: 12/10/2010
Lower limit of typical VolatilityTarget Date: 3/8/2011
Base Price: $31.52Target Price: $28.65
Prediction #9 for CINF
Analyst: T. PearsonPrediction: Target PriceBase Date: 12/10/2010
Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential AppreciationTarget Date: 3/8/2011
Base Price: $31.52Target Price: $31.43
Prediction #10 for CINF
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 12/10/2010
Raw Least Squares TrendTarget Date: 3/8/2011
Base Price: $31.52Target Price: $31.78
Prediction #11 for CINF
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 12/10/2010
Deseasonalized Least Squares TrendTarget Date: 3/8/2011
Base Price: $31.52Target Price: $31.78
Prediction #12 for CINF
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 12/10/2010
Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear TrendTarget Date: 3/8/2011
Base Price: $31.52Target Price: $30.83
Prediction #13 for CINF
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 12/10/2010
Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal AdjustmentTarget Date: 3/8/2011
Base Price: $31.52Target Price: $32.50
Prediction #14 for CINF
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 12/10/2010
5 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal AdjustmentTarget Date: 3/8/2011
Base Price: $31.52Target Price: $31.52


Note: Predictions may conflict with one another because they from several sources. The next page rates the reliability of each prediction source against the historical record, and gives a final composite prediction which is weighted according to the previous success of predictions from the individual analyst.






Trend Reversal Levels

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 Daily Support and Resistance of Cincinnati Financial Corporation


Trend reversals at various price levels form the color scheme for the background of this chart. As prices cross levels with diferent characteristics, the rate of the price movement will be changed or even reversed. For more details of these maps, see Support and Resistance.



Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Cincinnati Financial Corporation from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


For Subscribers: Refined Predictions for Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Refined Stock Price Predictions for CINF :


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More CINF Technical Analysis Topics

Support and Resistance Levels

Volume Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices of CINF

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

Momentum Investing Indicators

CINF Classical Analysis of Time Series

CINF Historical Volume

CINF Risk-Volatility Analysis

CINF Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

Back to CINF Table of Contents


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Notice: Pages available to the public on this site are for entertainment and academic purposes only. We do not advocate investment in common stock. We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who invest in common stock will lose money. Charts and concepts are property of Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. All Content is Copyright 2010 by Hybrid Technical

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