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Technical Analysis - UAL

Chapter X: The mood of the market toward United Airlines show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators.


Sentiment Analysis based on Historical Prices and Volumes of UAL common stock.



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Week-end Altitude of United Airlines

For United Airlines, the Negative Volume Index is a well known indicator for market sentiment. This version is includes several enhancements added by Norman Fosback. The indicator is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the average daily NVI over the past year. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish).





How to read the Calibrated NVI for United Airlines:

In its modern form, the NVI is an elegant indicator, but requires some care in interpretation. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips".




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UAL:  Negative Volume Index (Fosback NVI)

Because the NVI operates over a somewhat longer time frame than most technical indicators, it is of interest to track it over a longer period to get a feeling for how it works. This chart for United Airlines covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page.




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Weekly Average Closing Altitude of United Airlines

Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward UAL while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. United Airlines stock prices are shown in red.






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Daily Up Volume vs Down Volume of United Airlines

Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. United Airlines share prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.




For Clients: More Market Sentiment Analysis of United Airlines

Influence of Investor Sentiment on UAL stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:


Companies in the News:

In the news, Wednesday, July 01, 2009: An unfavorable condition has developed with Lexmark International, Inc., ticker symbol LXK. Also, there are breaking events concerning Lennar Corporation (LEN) and The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV)

More UAL Technical Analysis Topics

UAL Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Volume Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices of UAL

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

UAL Classical Analysis of Time Series

UAL Historical Volume

UAL Risk-Volatility Analysis

UAL Seasonal Trends

Back to UAL Table of Contents


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