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| A well known sentiment indicator is the NVI or Negative Volume Index for AOL Time Warner. Here the Indicator Plot is the Calibrated NVI which incorporates several enhancements suggested by Norman Fosback. The plot is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the past year's average daily NVI. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish). |
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How to read the Calibrated NVI for AOL Time Warner: The NVI is an elegant indicator based on sound principles but it should not be interpreted in a simplistic manner. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips". |
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| Because the NVI operates over a somewhat longer time frame than most technical indicators, it is of interest to track it over a longer period to get a feeling for how it works. This chart for AOL Time Warner covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page. |
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| For the trading week ending 3/12/2010, the weekly average closing altitude was 58.68 percent. The historical Closing Altitude is traced by the blue line in the chart above. The midline represents the 50 percent closing altitude. If the closing prices happened to be exactly halfway between the high and low, they would be plotted on this midline. Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward TWX while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. The latest data indicates a downward trend, with a slope of -21.34. AOL Time Warner stock prices are shown in red. |
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| The Volume Portion is low for the latest data at 0.58. Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. AOL Time Warner share prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.The last tic shows an uptrend in the volume portion of 0.10. |
Influence of Investor Sentiment on TWX stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators: |
| In the news, Thursday, March 18, 2010: An unfavorable condition has developed with MicroSoft, ticker symbol MSFT. Also, there are breaking events concerning AOL Time Warner (TWX) and Mylan Inc. (MYL) |