Chapter X: The mood of the market toward Cisco Systems show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. |
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| One commonly consulted gauge of the mood of the market for Cisco Systems is the Negative Volume Index. This modern version makes use of several enhancements added by Norman Fosback. The indicator is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the average daily NVI over the past year. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish). |
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What to look for in an NVI plot for Cisco Systems: The NVI is an elegant indicator based on sound principles but it should not be interpreted in a simplistic manner. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips". |
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| The NVI resembles a fundamental indicator more than a technical indicator in at least one respect, as it seems to be indicative over a span of months or quarters, rather then the extremely short predictive span typical of many technical signals. This chart for Cisco Systems covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page. |
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| For the trading week ending 6/19/2009, the weekly average closing altitude was 23.52 percent. The historical Closing Altitude is traced by the blue line in the chart above. The midline represents the 50 percent closing altitude. It indicates closing prices halfway between the high and low prices for the day. Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward CSCO while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. The latest data indicates a downward trend, with a slope of -60.15. Cisco Systems stock prices are shown in red. |
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| The Volume Portion is low for the latest data at 0.45. Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. Cisco Systems share prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.Short term, the slope of this indicator is negative at -0.03. |
Influence of Investor Sentiment on CSCO stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators: |
| In the news, Wednesday, July 01, 2009: An unfavorable condition has developed with Lexmark International, Inc., ticker symbol LXK. Also, there are breaking events concerning Lennar Corporation (LEN) and The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) |