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| A well known sentiment indicator is the NVI or Negative Volume Index for Caterpillar. This version is includes several enhancements added by Norman Fosback. The indicator is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the average daily NVI over the past year. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish). |
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How to read the Calibrated NVI for Caterpillar: In its modern form, the NVI is an elegant indicator, but requires some care in interpretation. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips". |
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| The NVI resembles a fundamental indicator more than a technical indicator in at least one respect, as it seems to be indicative over a span of months or quarters, rather then the extremely short predictive span typical of many technical signals. This chart for Caterpillar covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page. |
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| The historical Closing Altitude is traced by the blue line above. For the trading week ending 3/5/2010, the weekly average closing altitude was 33.44 percent. 50 percent closing altitude is marked as the midline. If the closing prices happened to be exactly halfway between the high and low, they would be plotted on this midline. Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward CAT while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. The latest data indicates a downward trend, with a slope of -43.92. Caterpillar stock prices are shown in red. |
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| The Volume Portion is low for the latest data at 0.57. Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. Caterpillar share prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.Short term, the slope of this indicator is negative at -0.22. |
Influence of Investor Sentiment on CAT stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators: |
| In the news, Thursday, March 18, 2010: An unfavorable condition has developed with MicroSoft, ticker symbol MSFT. Also, there are breaking events concerning AOL Time Warner (TWX) and Mylan Inc. (MYL) |