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| A well known sentiment indicator is the NVI or Negative Volume Index for Caterpillar. This version is includes several enhancements added by Norman Fosback. The indicator is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the average daily NVI over the past year. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish). |
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How to read the Calibrated NVI for Caterpillar: In its modern form, the NVI is an elegant indicator, but requires some care in interpretation. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips". |
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| The NVI resembles a fundamental indicator more than a technical indicator in at least one respect, as it seems to be indicative over a span of months or quarters, rather then the extremely short predictive span typical of many technical signals. This chart for Caterpillar covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page. |
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| Weekly average closing altitude was 79.66 percent for the week ending 1/8/2010. Past values of the Closing Altitude indicator are marked by the blue line. The midline represents the 50 percent closing altitude. If the closing prices happened to be exactly halfway between the high and low, they would be plotted on this midline. Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward CAT while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. The short-term trend is positive, with a slope of 137.90. Caterpillar stock prices are shown in red. |
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| The most recent Volume Portion is positive at 1.00. Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. Caterpillar share prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.The last tic shows an uptrend in the volume portion of 0.13. |
Influence of Investor Sentiment on CAT stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators: |
| Friday, February 05, 2010: We have news on Genzyme Corporation, ticker symbol GENZ. A significant moving average event has happened. Also, there are breaking events concerning Archer-Daniels-Midland and Pactiv Corporation. From the News Archive: (2/5/2010 ) Favorable events happened at Wells Fargo & Company, Marathon Oil Corporation, Dell Inc., and Principal Financial Group, Inc.. |