Part1: An Overview of the Analysis
Chapter I:
Classical Analysis provides a good overview of the data for Sears Holdings Corporation, and reveals patterns that will be explored with detail in later sections. See SHLD Classical Analysis.
Chapter II:
This survey looks at historical volatility of Sears Holdings Corporation prices. The risks associated with long and short term positions can be evaluated according to projected shapes of the Volatility Curve. See Sears Holdings Corporation Price Volatility.
Chapter III:
This section shows historical volumes for sales of SHLD stock, along with Seasonal and Cyclical Trends in Volume. See SHLD Historical Volume.
Chapter IV:
A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Sears Holdings Corporation Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See SHLD Seasonal Trends.
Chapter V:
Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Sears Holdings Corporation prices. See Running Averages.
Part 2: Technical Analysis Topics
Chapter VI:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in SHLD stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators
Chapter VII:
A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to SHLD historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Politics and Prices of SHLD.
Chapter VIII:
Volume Stratification Analysis (or VSA) follows price behavior in relation to historical volumes of SHLD stock sales. Knowledge of these behaviors gives us a quantitative metric useful for understanding Support or Resistance Levels, and predicting their strength. See Volumetric Analysis
Chapter IX:
Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter X:
The mood of the market toward Sears Holdings Corporation show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.
Chapter XI:
The length of "Runs", (the number of consecutive price movements up or down) reveal some new ways to visualize Price Series Data. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Analysis of Sears Holdings Corporation
Chapter XII:
The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Candlestick Analysis.
Chapter XIII:
Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of SHLD prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Multi-Spectral Analysis.
Chapter XIV:
The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of Sears Holdings Corporation historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Part 3: Synthesis and Projections for the Future
Chapter XVI:
Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to SHLD over the next few months? See SHLD Price Predictions.
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