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MVL Independent Analysis Reports





Part1: An Overview of the Analysis



Chapter I:

Classical Analysis provides a good overview of the data for Marvel Comics, and reveals patterns that will be explored with detail in later sections. See MVL Classical Analysis.

Chapter II:

Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See Marvel Comics Price Volatility.

Chapter III:

Changes in Daily Volume are tracked in time here. Time Series Analysis demonstrates Trends and Cyclical Patterns in the number of shares transacted. See MVL Historical Volume.

Chapter IV:

A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Marvel Comics Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See MVL Seasonal Trends.

Chapter V:

One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Marvel Comics prices. See Running Averages.




Part 2: Traditional Analysis Topics



Chapter VI:

Some say that modern analysis began with the successful identification of technical oscillators such as the highly effective Wilder RSI. See Technical Oscillators

Chapter VII:

A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to MVL historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Politics and Prices of MVL.

Chapter VIII:

A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis

Chapter IX:

A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.

Chapter X:

Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward MVL. See Market Sentiment.

Chapter XI:

This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Analysis of Marvel Comics

Chapter XII:

The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Candlestick Analysis.

Chapter XIII:

Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of MVL prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Multi-Spectral Analysis.

Chapter XIV:

The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of Marvel Comics historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Price Behavior Surfaces.




Part 3: Synthesis and Projections for the Future



Chapter XVI:

Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See MVL Price Predictions.