Part1: Survey of the Analysis Materials
Chapter I:
Classical Analysis provides a good overview of the data for MicroSoft, and reveals patterns that will be explored with detail in later sections. See MSFT Classical Analysis.
Chapter II:
This survey looks at historical volatility of MicroSoft prices. The risks associated with long and short term positions can be evaluated according to projected shapes of the Volatility Curve. See MicroSoft Price Volatility.
Chapter III:
This section shows historical volumes for sales of MSFT stock, along with Seasonal and Cyclical Trends in Volume. See MSFT Historical Volume.
Chapter IV:
A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of MicroSoft Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See MSFT Seasonal Trends.
Chapter V:
One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of MicroSoft prices. See Running Averages.
Part 2: Technical Analysis Topics
Chapter VI:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in MSFT stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators
Chapter VII:
Price Analysis according to Political Factors reveals some surprising results. Computing trends against the November based political calendar may give better predictions than the traditional calculations based on the January calendar year! See Politics and Prices of MSFT.
Chapter VIII:
Volume Stratification Analysis (or VSA) follows price behavior in relation to historical volumes of MSFT stock sales. Knowledge of these behaviors gives us a quantitative metric useful for understanding Support or Resistance Levels, and predicting their strength. See Volumetric Analysis
Chapter IX:
Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter X:
The mood of the market toward MicroSoft show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.
Chapter XI:
The chapter first converts the Price Line to several different mappings based on "Runs" or the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Analysis of MicroSoft
Chapter XII:
Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Candlestick Analysis.
Chapter XIII:
Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of MSFT prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Multi-Spectral Analysis.
Chapter XIV:
The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of MicroSoft historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Part 3: Synthesis and Projections for the Future
Chapter XVI:
Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See MSFT Price Predictions.
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