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LOJN Independent Analysis Reports





Part1: An Independent View of the Analysis



Chapter I:

An introductory chapter looks at the price history of LOJN by applying Classical Time Series Analysis. Some of the patterns seen here will prove to be important in further analysis. See LOJN Classical Analysis.

Chapter II:

Understanding Price Volatility behaviour is essential to assessing the risk associated with positions across different time spans. See LoJack Corp Price Volatility.

Chapter III:

Changes in Daily Volume are tracked in time here. Time Series Analysis demonstrates Trends and Cyclical Patterns in the number of shares transacted. See LOJN Historical Volume.

Chapter IV:

The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See LOJN Seasonal Trends.

Chapter V:

One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of LoJack Corp prices. See Running Averages.




Part 2: Analysis



Chapter VI:

Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in LOJN stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators

Chapter VII:

A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to LOJN historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Politics and Prices of LOJN.

Chapter VIII:

A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis

Chapter IX:

A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.

Chapter X:

The mood of the market toward LoJack Corp show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.

Chapter XI:

This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Analysis of LoJack Corp

Chapter XII:

Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Candlestick Analysis.

Chapter XIII:

Ordinary analysis does not show the features of the behavioral history underneath the price volume line. Here multi-spectral analysis brings the hidden features to the surface. See Multi-Spectral Analysis.

Chapter XIV:

Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.




Part 3: Synthesis and Projections for the Future



Chapter XVI:

Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See LOJN Price Predictions.