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Pure Technical Analysis of International Business Machines





Part1: An Independent View of the Analysis



Chapter I:

Classical Analysis provides a good overview of the data for International Business Machines, and reveals patterns that will be explored with detail in later sections. See IBM Classical Analysis.

Chapter II:

Understanding Price Volatility behaviour is essential to assessing the risk associated with positions across different time spans. See International Business Machines Price Volatility.

Chapter III:

Historical Volume Trends are analyzed here, revealing seasonal patterns and the influence of the Business Cycle. See IBM Historical Volume.

Chapter IV:

The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See IBM Seasonal Trends.

Chapter V:

One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of International Business Machines prices. See Running Averages.




Part 2: Traditional Analysis Topics



Chapter VI:

Some say that modern analysis began with the successful identification of technical oscillators such as the highly effective Wilder RSI. See Technical Oscillators

Chapter VII:

Price Analysis according to Political Factors reveals some surprising results. Computing trends against the November based political calendar may give better predictions than the traditional calculations based on the January calendar year! See Politics and Prices of IBM.

Chapter VIII:

A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis

Chapter IX:

A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.

Chapter X:

Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward IBM. See Market Sentiment.

Chapter XI:

This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Analysis of International Business Machines

Chapter XII:

The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Candlestick Analysis.

Chapter XIII:

Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of IBM prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Multi-Spectral Analysis.

Chapter XIV:

The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of International Business Machines historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Price Behavior Surfaces.




Part 3: Synthesis and Forecasting



Chapter XVI:

Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See IBM Price Predictions.