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GE Independent Analysis Reports





Part1: An Overview of the Analysis



Chapter I:

An introductory chapter looks at the price history of GE by applying Classical Time Series Analysis. Some of the patterns seen here will prove to be important in further analysis. See GE Classical Analysis.

Chapter II:

Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See General Electric Price Volatility.

Chapter III:

This section shows historical volumes for sales of GE stock, along with Seasonal and Cyclical Trends in Volume. See GE Historical Volume.

Chapter IV:

A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of General Electric Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See GE Seasonal Trends.

Chapter V:

Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of General Electric prices. See Running Averages.




Part 2: Technical Analysis Topics



Chapter VI:

Some say that modern analysis began with the successful identification of technical oscillators such as the highly effective Wilder RSI. See Technical Oscillators

Chapter VII:

This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. See Politics and Prices of GE.

Chapter VIII:

A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis

Chapter IX:

Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Momentum Investing Indicators.

Chapter X:

The mood of the market toward General Electric show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.

Chapter XI:

The length of "Runs", (the number of consecutive price movements up or down) reveal some new ways to visualize Price Series Data. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Analysis of General Electric

Chapter XII:

The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Candlestick Analysis.

Chapter XIII:

Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of GE prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Multi-Spectral Analysis.

Chapter XIV:

Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.




Part 3: Synthesis and Projections for the Future



Chapter XVI:

Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See GE Price Predictions.