Part1: Survey of the Analysis Materials
Chapter I:
This look at Fedex begins with a Classical Time Series Analysis of the historical stock prices, providing a vantage point over patterns that will be explored in greater detail in the following chapters. See FDX Classical Analysis.
Chapter II:
This survey looks at historical volatility of Fedex prices. The risks associated with long and short term positions can be evaluated according to projected shapes of the Volatility Curve. See Fedex Price Volatility.
Chapter III:
This section shows historical volumes for sales of FDX stock, along with Seasonal and Cyclical Trends in Volume. See FDX Historical Volume.
Chapter IV:
A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Fedex Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See FDX Seasonal Trends.
Chapter V:
One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Fedex prices. See Running Averages.
Part 2: Technical Analysis Topics
Chapter VI:
Some say that modern analysis began with the successful identification of technical oscillators such as the highly effective Wilder RSI. See Technical Oscillators
Chapter VII:
A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to FDX historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Politics and Prices of FDX.
Chapter VIII:
A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis
Chapter IX:
Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter X:
The mood of the market toward Fedex show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.
Chapter XI:
The length of "Runs", (the number of consecutive price movements up or down) reveal some new ways to visualize Price Series Data. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Analysis of Fedex
Chapter XII:
The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Candlestick Analysis.
Chapter XIII:
Ordinary analysis does not show the features of the behavioral history underneath the price volume line. Here multi-spectral analysis brings the hidden features to the surface. See Multi-Spectral Analysis.
Chapter XIV:
The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of Fedex historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Part 3: Advanced Forecasting Topics
Chapter XVI:
Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See FDX Price Predictions.
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