Chapter VII: A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to ZMH historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. |
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| Whether ZMH investors should hope for Democratic or Republican Presidents, depends on which measures you look at. Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time. |
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| Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation. A split decision is in the result here, according to which method you favor. Republicans are ahead by most of the three indicators. |
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| You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long. Like many companies, ZMH exhibits weakness in the uncertain months previous to the election. Also, like many, it tends to show stronger performance during the off-years. The annual dip often noticed in September, may in reality be a result of the bi-annual season of pre-election jitters. |
Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on ZMH. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators: |
| Wednesday, March 17, 2010: We have news on Procter and Gamble, ticker symbol PG. A significant moving average event has happened. Also, there are breaking events concerning LoJack Corp and Prudential Financial, Inc.. From the News Archive: (3/17/2010 ) Bad news came from PPL Corporation, Patterson Companies, Inc., General Electric, and CIGNA Corporation. |