Chapter VII: A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to XEL historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. |
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| The indicators are mixed on the question of which Presidential Party is best for XEL investors. Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time. |
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| Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation. The indicators are not in total agreement here for XEL investors. But two of the three favor the Democrats. |
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| You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long. XEL shows the typical election cycle pattern, with the worst months shortly before elections, reflecting the uncertainty. The annual dip often noticed in September, may in reality be a result of the bi-annual season of pre-election jitters. |
Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on XEL. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators: |
| Wednesday, March 17, 2010: We have news on LoJack Corp, ticker symbol LOJN. A favorable momentum event has happened. Also, there are breaking events concerning Prudential Financial, Inc. and Patterson Companies, Inc.. From the News Archive: (3/17/2010 ) A favorable event happened at Harley-Davidson, Inc.. Meanwhile, bad news came from General Electric, CIGNA Corporation, and Intel. |