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SBC - Effect of Election Cycles on Southwest Bell Communications


Election Cycle Trends in SBC Common Stock.



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Presidential Election History

The indicators are mixed on the question of which Presidential Party is best for SBC investors. Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time.



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Profitability by Presidential Party

Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation. The indicators are not in total agreement here for SBC investors. But two of the three favor the Democrats.




Best Times in the Election Cycle For Short Term Speculation in Southwest Bell Communications Common Stock.







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Election Calendar Cycles

You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long. Like many companies, SBC exhibits weakness in the uncertain months previous to the election. Also, like many, it tends to show stronger performance during the off-years. We believe that the well known "September Slump" is actually due in large part to the pre-election dip.






More Political Cycles of Southwest Bell Communications?

Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on SBC. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:


Companies in the News:

Friday, February 05, 2010: We have news on Genzyme Corporation, ticker symbol GENZ. A significant moving average event has happened. Also, there are breaking events concerning Archer-Daniels-Midland and Pactiv Corporation.

From the News Archive: (2/5/2010 ) Favorable events happened at Wells Fargo & Company, Marathon Oil Corporation, Dell Inc., and Principal Financial Group, Inc..


More SBC Technical Analysis Topics

SBC Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

SBC Classical Analysis of Time Series

SBC Historical Volume

SBC Risk-Volatility Analysis

SBC Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

Back to SBC Table of Contents


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