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RL - Effect of Election Cycles on Polo Ralph Lauren Corporation

Chapter VII: Price Analysis according to Political Factors reveals some surprising results. Computing trends against the November based political calendar may give better predictions than the traditional calculations based on the January calendar year!


Election Cycle Trends in RL Common Stock.



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RL: Presidential Election History

Several measures point to Republican administrations being most favorable to RL stockholders. Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time.



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Profitability by Presidential Party of Polo Ralph Lauren Corporation

Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation. Republicans are favored by all measures for RL owners.




Best Times in the Election Cycle For Short Term Speculation in Polo Ralph Lauren Corporation Common Stock.







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Election Calendar Cycles of Polo Ralph Lauren Corporation

You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long. Like many companies, RL exhibits weakness in the uncertain months previous to the election. Also, like many, it tends to show stronger performance during the off-years. The annual dip often noticed in September, may in reality be a result of the bi-annual season of pre-election jitters.






More Political Cycles of Polo Ralph Lauren Corporation?

Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on RL. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:


Companies in the News:

Wednesday, September 01, 2010: We have news on priceline.com Incorporated, ticker symbol PCLN. A significant moving average event has happened. Also, there are breaking events concerning O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. and Boston Scientific Corporation.

From the News Archive: (8/31/2010 ) Favorable events happened at J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., Broadcom Corporation, Netease.com, Inc., and Rockwell Automation.

More RL Technical Analysis Topics

RL Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

Momentum Investing Indicators

RL Classical Analysis of Time Series

RL Historical Volume

RL Risk-Volatility Analysis

RL Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

Back to RL Table of Contents


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