Chapter VII: This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. |
| Prev. Co. | Next Co. | |
|
| ||
| The indicators are mixed on the question of which Presidential Party is best for PCG investors. Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time. |
| Prev. Co. | Next Co. | |
| ||
| Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation. A split decision is in the result here, according to which method you favor. Republicans are ahead by most of the three indicators. |
| Prev. Co. | Next Co. | |
| ||
| You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long. The offyear is the preferred year for PCG, but the lowest profitability for investors occurs at an unusual time. |
Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on PCG. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators: |
| Friday, February 18, 2011: We have news on Fiserv, Inc., ticker symbol FISV. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning Zimmer Holdings, Inc. and McCormick & Company, Incorporated. From the News Archive: (2/18/2011 ) Bad news came from Reynolds American, Inc., Dollar Tree, Inc., Zimmer Holdings, Inc., and NVIDIA Corp. |