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JCP - Effect of Election Cycles on J.C. Penney Company, Inc.


Election Cycle Trends in JCP Common Stock.



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Presidential Election History of J.C. Penney Company, Inc.

Several measures point to Republican administrations being most favorable to JCP stockholders. Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time.



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JCP:  Profitability by Presidential Party

Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation. Republicans are favored by all measures for JCP owners.




Best Times in the Election Cycle For Short Term Speculation in J.C. Penney Company, Inc. Common Stock.







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Election Calendar Cycles of J.C. Penney Company, Inc.

You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long. JCP shows the typical election cycle pattern, with the worst months shortly before elections, reflecting the uncertainty. The annual dip often noticed in September, may in reality be a result of the bi-annual season of pre-election jitters.






More Political Cycles of J.C. Penney Company, Inc.?

Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on JCP. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:



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More JCP Technical Analysis Topics

JCP Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Volume Stratification Analysis

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

JCP Classical Analysis of Time Series

JCP Historical Volume

JCP Risk-Volatility Analysis

JCP Seasonal Trends

Back to JCP Table of Contents


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