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ITT - Effect of Election Cycles on ITT Corporation

Chapter VII: A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to ITT historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis.


Election Cycle Trends in ITT Common Stock.



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Presidential Election History of ITT Corporation

The indicators are mixed on the question of which Presidential Party is best for ITT investors. Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time.



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ITT:  Profitability by Presidential Party

Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation. A split decision is in the result here, according to which method you favor. Republicans are ahead by most of the three indicators.




Best Times in the Election Cycle For Short Term Speculation in ITT Corporation Common Stock.







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ITT:  Election Calendar Cycles

You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long. ITT shows the typical election cycle pattern, with the worst months shortly before elections, reflecting the uncertainty. We believe that the well known "September Slump" is actually due in large part to the pre-election dip.






More Political Cycles of ITT Corporation?

Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on ITT. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:



Companies in the News:

In the news, Friday, March 19, 2010: An unfavorable condition has developed with Cincinnati Financial Corporation, ticker symbol CINF. Also, there are breaking events concerning Pre-Paid Legal (PPD) and Electronic Data Systems (EDS)

More ITT Technical Analysis Topics

ITT Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

ITT Classical Analysis of Time Series

ITT Historical Volume

ITT Risk-Volatility Analysis

ITT Seasonal Trends

Market Sentiment

Back to ITT Table of Contents


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