INTC - Effect of Election Cycles on Intel
Election Cycle Trends in INTC Common Stock.
INTC is a company whose stock does best under Democratic administrations, according to several measures. Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time.
Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation. Here all three methods favor the Democrats. |
Best Times in the Election Cycle For Short Term Speculation in Intel Common Stock.
You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long. Like many companies, INTC exhibits weakness in the uncertain months previous to the election. Also, like many, it tends to show stronger performance during the off-years. We believe that the well known "September Slump" is actually due in large part to the pre-election dip. |
More Political Cycles of Intel?
Companies in the News:
|Friday, February 18, 2011: We have news on Fiserv, Inc., ticker symbol FISV. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning Zimmer Holdings, Inc. and McCormick & Company, Incorporated. |
From the News Archive: (2/18/2011 ) Bad news came from Reynolds American, Inc., Dollar Tree, Inc., Zimmer Holdings, Inc., and NVIDIA Corp.
More INTC Technical Analysis Topics
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