| Prev. Co. | Next Co. | |
|
| ||
| IBM is a company whose stock does best under Democratic administrations, according to several measures. Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time. |
| Prev. Co. | Next Co. | |
| ||
| Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation. Here all three methods favor the Democrats. |
| Prev. Co. | Next Co. | |
| ||
| You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long. IBM shows the typical election cycle pattern, with the worst months shortly before elections, reflecting the uncertainty. We believe that the well known "September Slump" is actually due in large part to the pre-election dip. |
Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on IBM. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators: |
| In the news, Monday, February 08, 2010: A favorable condition has developed with Nicor Inc., ticker symbol GAS. Also, there are breaking events concerning American International Group, Inc. (AIG) and United Technologies (UTX) |