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| Whether HAL investors should hope for Democratic or Republican Presidents, depends on which measures you look at. Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time. |
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| Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation. The indicators are not in total agreement here for HAL investors. But two of the three favor the Democrats. |
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| You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long. HAL shows the typical election cycle pattern, with the worst months shortly before elections, reflecting the uncertainty. The annual dip often noticed in September, may in reality be a result of the bi-annual season of pre-election jitters. |
Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on HAL. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators: |
| Thursday, March 11, 2010: We have news on Southwestern Energy Company, ticker symbol SWN. A significant moving average event has happened. Also, there are breaking events concerning Philip Morris and LoJack Corp. From the News Archive: (3/10/2010 ) Bad news came from Omnicom Group Inc., Best Buy Co., Inc., Ameren Corporation, and Avon Products, Inc.. |