Chapter VII: This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. |
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| Whether COP investors should hope for Democratic or Republican Presidents, depends on which measures you look at. Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time. |
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| Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation. A split decision is in the result here, according to which method you favor. But two of the three favor the Democrats. |
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| You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long. The offyear is the preferred year for COP, but the lowest profitability for investors occurs at an unusual time. |
Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on COP. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators: |
| Tuesday, September 07, 2010: We have news on Brocade Communications Systems, Inc., ticker symbol BRCD. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning Apartment Investment and Management Co. and Mitsui & Company, Ltd.. From the News Archive: (9/3/2010 ) Bad news came from Hewlett Packard, News Corporation, Discovery Communications, Inc, and Electronic Data Systems. |