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CCU - Effect of Election Cycles on Clear Channel Communications

Chapter VII: Price Analysis according to Political Factors reveals some surprising results. Computing trends against the November based political calendar may give better predictions than the traditional calculations based on the January calendar year!


Election Cycle Trends in CCU Common Stock.



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Presidential Election History of Clear Channel Communications

Several measures point to Republican administrations being most favorable to CCU stockholders. Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time.



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Profitability by Presidential Party of Clear Channel Communications

Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation. Republicans are favored by all measures for CCU owners.




Best Times in the Election Cycle For Short Term Speculation in Clear Channel Communications Common Stock.







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Election Calendar Cycles of Clear Channel Communications

You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long. CCU shows the typical election cycle pattern, with the worst months shortly before elections, reflecting the uncertainty. The annual dip often noticed in September, may in reality be a result of the bi-annual season of pre-election jitters.






More Political Cycles of Clear Channel Communications?

Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on CCU. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:


Companies in the News:

Wednesday, July 01, 2009: We have news on Public Service Enterprise Group Inc., ticker symbol PEG. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning The Travelers Companies, Inc. and Kellogg Company.

From the News Archive: (7/1/2009 ) Favorable events happened at Allegheny Energy, Inc., Bank of America Corporation, and American International Group, Inc.. Meanwhile, bad news came from Lexmark International, Inc..

More CCU Technical Analysis Topics

CCU Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

CCU Classical Analysis of Time Series

CCU Historical Volume

CCU Risk-Volatility Analysis

CCU Seasonal Trends

Back to CCU Table of Contents


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