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AMZN - Effect of Election Cycles on Amazon


Election Cycle Trends in AMZN Common Stock.



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Presidential Election History of Amazon

AMZN is a company whose stock does best under Democratic administrations, according to several measures. Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time.



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Profitability by Presidential Party of Amazon

Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation. Here all three methods favor the Democrats.




Best Times in the Election Cycle For Short Term Speculation in Amazon Common Stock.







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Election Calendar Cycles of Amazon

You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long. Like many companies, AMZN exhibits weakness in the uncertain months previous to the election. Also, like many, it tends to show stronger performance during the off-years. We believe that the well known "September Slump" is actually due in large part to the pre-election dip.






More Political Cycles of Amazon?

Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on AMZN. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:



Companies in the News:

In the news, Friday, March 12, 2010: An unfavorable condition has developed with Convergys Corporation, ticker symbol CVG. Also, there are breaking events concerning ConAgra Foods, Inc. (CAG) and Pre-Paid Legal (PPD)

More AMZN Technical Analysis Topics

AMZN Price Predictions

Support and Resistance Levels

Volume Stratification Analysis

Japanese Candlestick Analysis

AMZN Classical Analysis of Time Series

AMZN Historical Volume

AMZN Risk-Volatility Analysis

AMZN Seasonal Trends

Back to AMZN Table of Contents


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Notice: Pages available to the public on this site are for entertainment and academic purposes only. We do not advocate investment in common stock. We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who invest in common stock will lose money. Charts and concepts are property of Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. All Content is Copyright 2008 by Hybrid Technical

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