Chapter VII: A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to AA historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. |
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| AA is a company whose stock does best under Democratic administrations, according to several measures. Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time. |
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| Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation. Here all three methods favor the Democrats. |
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| You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long. AA is not a typical company in the 2 year election cycle. One rarely sees profiles like this. More typically, lows occur during the fall months of election year, with the highs in the offyear. |
Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on AA. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators: |
| Wednesday, March 17, 2010: We have news on ACM Income Fund, ticker symbol ACG. Some signs of an over-sold condition have become evident. Also, there are breaking events concerning CIGNA Corporation and Prudential Financial, Inc.. From the News Archive: (3/17/2010 ) A favorable event happened at LoJack Corp. Meanwhile, bad news came from PPL Corporation, Walmart, and Procter and Gamble. |