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| Viewing the Calendar Trends, we see that General Growth Properties, Inc does not fit the most common pattern. Usually, the lowest prices occur in the Fall Months. The percentage spread between the high and low months is 9.86 percent, when averaged over the last 16 years. For this chart, price plots for each year are traced on top of each other. Each month's value is adjusted to the mean price for the particular year. The orange line represents the average monthy price expressed as a portion of the annual price. |
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| Investors in General Growth Properties, Inc should consider staying in cash during October. Here, the profitability of the month is defined as the percentage change between the mean price on the first day of the month and the mean price on the last day of the month. So the figures displayed here refer to the average change during each month, rather than changes between months. A quick 16.48 percent gain has rewarded those who have speculated during the month of May. |
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| The 'Monthly Profitability' discussed above applies to holdings during the course of a single month. Another, perhaps more realistic evaluation is the one charted here. Here the value evaluated is the highest price reached at anytime during the next quarter. General Growth Properties, Inc speculators who have taken positions starting in March gain 35.98 percent, judged by the maximum price attained during the next three months. |
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This plot of the average monthly price as a proportion of the average yearly price removes the year-to-year secular trend. However the within-year trend is still intact, so it is expected that the December value might be higher than the January average, for a healthy company. Over the span of 6 months from November to May a gain of 9.86 percent has occurred historically. This is an annual rate of 19.7 percent. Investing 'against the tide' of the seasonal trend can cost an annualized 19.72 percent. Before making any decisions based on the standard 12 Month Seasonal Calendar, be sure to check the characteristics of the 24 Month Political Election Calendar. Research shows that many characteristics of the traditional seasonal averages are actually induced by events in the 24 month political cycle, so the characteristics of even versus odd numbered years may be quite distinct. |
Much Deeper Market Timing Analysis with GGP roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators: |
| In the news, Wednesday, March 10, 2010: An unfavorable condition has developed with Valero Energy Corporation, ticker symbol VLO. Also, there are breaking events concerning Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) and XTO Energy Inc. (XTO) |